Seven Hills 2012 Mock Election Results

October 25, 2012 I 2 Comments

By Jay Panandiker.

On October 25, Seven Hills held the 2012 Mock Election, and the ballots have been counted. Read below for results and analysis.

 

Information about Election Logistics

Presidential Election

For the first time in the Seven Hills election, both the popular and electoral vote count were used.  The results appear to be far closer in the popular vote than in the electoral vote, due to the “winner-take-all” electoral system.  In the electoral college, President Barack Obama received 324 electoral votes, while Governor Mitt Romney received 99 Votes.  Jill Stein and Gary Johnson received 1 and 5 Votes respectively.  In the popular vote, Obama took 56% of the vote, compared to Romney’s 35%.  Stein took 1% while Johnson took 6%. This year, Seven Hills voters chose a president by a larger margin than in past elections.

 

Ohio Senate Election

The results of the Ohio Senate race are far more representative of what is likely to occur in the actual election.  The margin of victory, while still quite large, was very close to what current polling suggests across the State of Ohio. Incumbent Sherrod Brown defeated Ohio Treasurer Josh Mandel, by a 59% to 41% margin.

 

 

Ohio Congressional District 1

 

While this race seemed to be dominated by the two major parties, third parties were fairly popular in the House of Representatives election. Incumbent Republican Steve Chabot lost the election to Democratic challenger Jeff Sinnard 36% to 45%.  Rich Stevenson of the Green party received 11% of the vote, while Libertarian Jim Berns recieved 8% of the vote.

 

Issue 2

Issue 2 in Ohio was a redistricting amendment.  Under the current system, every ten years the US House District Map is drawn for the state of Ohio.  This is based on the census for that year.  The Ohio Statehouse currently draws out the new map, and as a result there are often accusations of partisanship.  Under Issue 2, the responsibility to draw the map is handed over to a bipartisanship committee, hoping to make the process more fair and less politicized.  Opponents argued that there are many loopholes in the proposed system, and that it will only increase the size of government.  Issue 2 passed by a 62% to 38% margin.

 

Ohio Marriage Amendment

Under the new amendment, marriage would be defined as between a man and a woman.  A Yes vote would oppose gay marriage, while a no vote would support it.  However, the double negative in the wording led some to misinterpret the question, and as a result vote the wrong way. In the end however, 79% opposed the amendment while 21% supported it.

 

Federal Responsibility of Healthcare

This question asked whether or not the federal government is responsible for healthcare. The question does not pertain specifically to Obamacare, however it does still address the broader issue of rising healthcare costs.  62% believed that the government was responsible while 38% believed that it was not.

 

iPads as a Learning Tool

This question surveyed students about their views on the iPads, specifically for learning purposes. It appeared to be the most divisive issue with the closest margin of victory.  The iPads were favored 54% to 46%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results of the National Election and the National VOTES Election:

National Election: On November 6, Americans turned out in record numbers to vote, ending the long 2012 election season.  After millions of dollars and countless hours of campaigning, the political landscape in the nation’s capital appears to have remained much the same.  There were some minor changes in the balance of power, such as Democratic senate pickups in Indiana and Maine.  For the presidential election, President Obama won in an Electoral College landslide, although the popular vote was close.  Obama received 332 electoral votes to Governor Romney’s 206.  He won the popular vote 50% to Romney’s 47%, or by approximately 3 million votes.

VOTES Election vs. Seven Hills Election: In the mock election at Seven Hills, President Obama took 62% of the vote, while he took a less sizable 51% in the National VOTES Election.  In the VOTES electoral vote, the President received 319 electoral votes, while Governor Romney received 208, a closer margin than in the actual election and the Seven Hills mock election.  Similar to in the Seven Hills mock election, third party candidates played a larger role in the VOTES Election.  Jill Stein took 2% while Gary Johnson took 4% of the vote.  These percentages were slightly narrower than in the Seven Hills election.  In the VOTES election several  states voted differently in the VOTES election than in the actual election.  These states include Florida and Colorado, which went for Romney in the VOTES election and Obama in the national election, and Georgia, South Carolina, and Louisiana which went for Obama in the VOTES election, but Romney in the actual election.

In the Ohio senate race the actual election was far closer the in the mock election.  In the actual election Senator Brown won by 5%, while in the mock election he won by a 18% margin.

 

The electoral college results for each advisory are posted below:

 

Science Room Advisories

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Main Level Advisories


  • Matt Williams

    The election article is littered with inaccuracies. When discussing the senate race between Josh Mandel and Incumbent Sherrod Brown the results are not even close to what the actual polls are saying. The Current RCP average shows Brown with 48.2 and Mandel with 43.5. Even the polls that give Brown the widest margins come more than 10% closer than the results reflected in the school election. Also, Seven Hills is located in the second congressional district of Ohio, not The first congressional district. Seven Hills has been in OH-2 since at least 2001. That race is currently not being really contested and it is expected to be a victory for Brad Wenstrup as there is no established opponent backed by the DNC. There is not one statistic that comes within 10% of the actual reality for the state of Ohio.

    • Erich Schweikher

      Matt,

      Clearly your comment suggests interest and knowledge in local and national politics. Canvass invites you to write a piece on the elections. Feel free to contact Sara Johnson or Jay Panandiker if this is something you would be willing to do.


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